Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 8

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)


	Pirata		San Marcos

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.47	3.2	2.65
	2.42	3.11	2.57
	2.54	3.33	2.69	Watch
	2.46	3.14	2.6
	2.47	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	2.62 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
36.9%

Draw
28.5%

San Marcos
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Marcos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pirata - San Marcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva F. (G) 3. Diez Canseco P. 5. Hoyos H. 7. Leon C. 2. Morales M. 6. Navarro J. 16. Paredes R. 32. Suclupe M. 22. Tapia D. 4. Torres C. 18. Vasquez R.	1. Stein A. (G) 4. Almeida 24. Castro F. 26. Garcia A. 3. Mayo J. 8. Peral P. 2. Reyes J. 13. Rodriguez L. 19. Rodriguez R. 9. Saffadi D. 6. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
23. Anton P. 9. Burga E. 8. Carbajal J. 10. Chaparro L. 15. Chirinos A. 12. Cordova A. (G) 17. Di Leo T. 21. Santos S. 11. Valoyes A.	5. Aivar F. 29. Aragon F. 15. Gadea A. 22. Paz L. 21. Quincho J. (G) 25. Raffo R. 35. Rivera L. 7. Soto J. 16. Ventura F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

San Marcos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pirata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pirata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pirata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.25	Pirata - Cajamarca	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	ADA Jaén - Pirata	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Pirata - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Pirata - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL
- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
18.05.25	Carlos A. Mannucci - San Marcos	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	San Marcos - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	ADA Jaén - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	San Marcos - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
27.09.24	San Marcos - Pirata	4:1
01.09.24	Pirata - San Marcos	1:0
09.06.24	San Marcos - Pirata	2:1
17.04.24	Pirata - San Marcos	0:2

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