Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	ADA Jaén		San Marcos

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.8
	1.98	3.05	3.55
	1.87	3.14	3.94
	1.84	3.12	4.73	Watch
	2.02	3.04	3.64
	1.97	3.04	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	3.06 ↑ (3)	3.91 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADA Jaén
47%

Draw
29.8%

San Marcos
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ADA Jaén - San Marcos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ADA Jaén will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas S. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 17. Crespo H. 11. Cubas A. 7. Duque L. 19. Labrin V. 37. Maciel E. 4. Prado B. 9. Rodriguez F. 18. Salinas T. 3. Villalta M.	1. Stein A. (G) 29. Aragon F. 24. Castro F. 26. Garcia A. 22. Moyano D. 28. Paz L. 8. Peral P. (C) 25. Raffo R. 2. Reyes J. 7. Soto J. 16. Ventura F.
Substitutes
13. Cano L. 32. Cassiano F. 14. Guzman C. 30. Huaman A. 74. Lozada J. (G) 8. Nunez J. 77. Rodriguez A. 33. Torres A. 20. Valencia	4. Almeida 15. Gadea A. 21. Quincho J. (G) 35. Rivera L. 13. Rodriguez L. 19. Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
58', Crespo H. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
73', Labrin V. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
73', Salinas T. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

ADA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Marcos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, ADA is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, ADA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
05.07.25	ADA Jaén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pirata - ADA Jaén	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	ADA Jaén - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	ADA Jaén - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 TTTWW
- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
05.07.25	San Marcos - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Cajamarca - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Universidad César Vallejo - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	San Marcos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.06.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	0:1
25.04.25	ADA Jaén - San Marcos	0:0
28.06.24	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	6:0
07.05.24	ADA Jaén - San Marcos	0:2
Peruvian Copa
26.11.23	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	1:3

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