Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Pisa		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.75
	1.61	3.65	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.2
	1.64	3.83	6.24
	1.52	3.8	6.5
	1.62	3.74	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.34)	3.69 ↓ (4.75)	6 ↓ (8.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
58.7%

Draw
25.6%

Pordenone
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.5%

17%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pordenone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pisa - Pordenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pisa has the most likely position - 1 (17.68%), has project points - 64, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (40.4%), has project points - 30, has currently - 1, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pisa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pordenone has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Pisa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
16.10.21	Crotone - Pisa	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Pisa - Reggina	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Parma - Pisa	1:1 ✺
21.09.21	Pisa - Monza	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Vicenza Virtus - Pisa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWTWW
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.10.21	Pordenone - Ternana	1:3 ✺
03.10.21	Pordenone - Vicenza Virtus	2:4 ✺
25.09.21	Monza - Pordenone	3:1 ✺
21.09.21	Pordenone - Reggina	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Cittadella - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.04.21	Pordenone - Pisa	2:2
12.12.20	Pisa - Pordenone	1:0
10.07.20	Pordenone - Pisa	1:0
02.12.19	Pisa - Pordenone	2:0

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