The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pisa 36.9%
Draw 31%
Monza 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
30.2%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
32.8%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
50%
21.4%
Pisa - Monza Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Monza will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5% โ 68.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
Pisa has the most likely position - 3 (100%), has project points - 67, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (29%), has not chance of win league.
Monza has the most likely position - 4 (100%), has project points - 67, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a good chance of promoted (71%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality38, very big importance100, match rating69. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 3.
Recent matches Pisa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Monza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Monza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Pisa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.