Match Info

Serie A - Round 34

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

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	Parma		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.55
	2.28	3.08	3.79
	2.24	3.07	3.64	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.28	3.14	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)	3.07 ↓ (3.32)	3.61 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
42.6%

Draw
31%

Pisa
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	28%	12%

Parma - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 41% – 80.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Parma (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 3. Ndiaye A. 15. Delprato E. (C) 10. Bernabe A. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 7. Strefezza G. 9. Pellegrino M.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 2. Bozhinov R. 7. Leris M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 20. Aebischer M. 21. Vural I. 3. Angori S. 81. Stojilkovic F. 32. Moreo S.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 40. Corvi E. (G) 23. Elphege N. 8. Estevez N. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 21. Oristanio G. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 5. Valenti L.	39. Albiol R. 33. Calabresi A. 26. Coppola F. 11. Cuadrado J. 8. Hojholt M. 19. Iling Junior S. 99. Lorran 35. Loyola F. 9. Meister H. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 23. Stengs C. 15. Toure I.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
44', Vural I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vural I. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
65', Leris M. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
66', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
66', Strefezza G. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
66', Keita M. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
78', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
78', Bernabe A. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
80', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
80', Bozhinov R. ↓, Lorran ↑,
81', Delprato E. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Elphege N. ⚽, Sorensen O. (A),
89', Ndiaye A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3.

Parma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pisa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Parma will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Cremaschi B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Iling Junior S. (Coach's decision) Leris M. (Injury) Lorran (Coach's decision) Marin M. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Parma: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Udinese - Parma	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Torino - Parma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTTLL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
19.04.26	Pisa - Genoa	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Roma - Pisa	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Pisa - Torino	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Como - Pisa	5:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pisa - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1
Italian Serie B
17.02.24	Parma - Pisa	3:2
29.08.23	Pisa - Parma	1:2
28.02.23	Parma - Pisa	0:1
08.10.22	Pisa - Parma	0:0
22.02.22	Pisa - Parma	0:0
26.09.21	Parma - Pisa	1:1

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