Match Info
ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 20Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Pistoiese |
|
Aglianese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.6 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
|
 |
5.06 |
3.25 |
1.65 |
|
 |
5.37 |
3.38 |
1.63 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.01 ↑
(3.72) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
1.66 ↓
(1.89) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pistoiese
18% | Draw
27.6% | Aglianese
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pistoiese's form might have worsened.Aglianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aglianese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pistoiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aglianese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Preview
Pistoiese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Aglianese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Aglianese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6. Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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