Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Pistoiese		Cesena

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.1	3.1	1.78
	4.29	3.28	1.85
	4.2	3.1	1.83
	4.2	3.34	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.4)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
21.5%

Draw
28%

Cesena
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.8%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.9%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cesena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
06.03.22	Montevarchi - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Pistoiese - Imolese	3:0 ✺
23.02.22	Pistoiese - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Pistoiese - Carrarese	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Teramo - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLWT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
06.03.22	Cesena - Teramo	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Pontedera - Cesena	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Imolese - Cesena	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Ancona - Cesena	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.21	Cesena - Pistoiese	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.08.21	Cesena - Pistoiese	3:1

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