Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.42	2.9	2.8
	2.6	2.8	2.65
	2.77	2.8	2.78
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.57	3.06	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.7)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	2.73 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
35.1%

Draw
31.6%

Carrarese
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

22.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pistoiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pistoiese - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.22	Teramo - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Pistoiese - Siena	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Ancona - Pistoiese	0:3 ✺
02.02.22	Grosseto - Pistoiese	6:1 ✺
30.01.22	Pistoiese - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWLL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
16.02.22	Carrarese - Imolese	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Montevarchi - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Carrarese - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Pescara - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.10.21	Carrarese - Pistoiese	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
17.02.21	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:2
21.10.20	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:0
25.01.20	Pistoiese - Carrarese	1:1
15.09.19	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:1
06.04.19	Pistoiese - Carrarese	0:1
09.12.18	Carrarese - Pistoiese	2:1

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