Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	San Marino Calcio		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.49
	6	3.85	1.49
	5.54	3.83	1.55	Watch
	5.27	3.72	1.56
	6	3.85	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (5.1)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Calcio
15.9%

Draw
24%

Pistoiese
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

23.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

San Marino Calcio - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Astolfi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Passewe A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Pinzauti L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches San Marino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pistoiese is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Pistoiese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.03.25	Piacenza - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	San Marino Calcio - Tuttocuoio	4:4 ✺
09.03.25	Sasso Marconi - San Marino Calcio	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Prato - San Marino Calcio	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	San Marino Calcio - Progresso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.03.25	Pistoiese - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Piacenza - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Pistoiese - Imolese	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Pistoiese - Sasso Marconi	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sammaurese - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWT

San Marino Calcio - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide