Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 7

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Piteå		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.32	3.7	2.05
	3.58	3.67	1.93	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.45	3.45	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.47)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.03 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå
28.2%

Draw
26.3%

FBK Karlstad
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

24.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piteå's form might have worsened.

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBK Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piteå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBK Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Piteå - FBK Karlstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Piteå will win (votes: 1 - 25%). FBK Karlstad will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson F. (G)
16. Brooks B.
24. Ingemarson A.
6. Jamehdar S.
10. Johansson F.
5. Kavur B.
20. Lindgren A.
22. Lundmark O.
2. Millbert H.
29. Norberg O.
3. Sharma E.
Substitutes
1. Adell T. (G)
21. Bergstrom H.
17. Berntzen T.
18. Johnson J.
23. Lindgren L.
99. Svard L.
19. Wikstrom I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Kavur B. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Fredriksson L. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Faustini R. ⚽,
44', Lindgren A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sharma E. ↓, Wikstrom I. ↑,
56', 1 - 3, Hana G. ⚽,
59', Wikstrom I. 🟨,
64', Lindgren A. ↓, Lindgren L. ↑,
65', Norberg O. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Olsson W. ⚽, Parleholt A. (A),
75', Millbert H. ↓, Berntzen T. ↑,
80', 1 - 5, Hana G. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: )).

Piteå is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

FBK Karlstad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

FBK Karlstad could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Piteå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Piteå won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.05.26	Vasalund - Piteå	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Piteå - Arlanda	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Järfälla - Piteå	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Piteå - Hammarby TFF	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Piteå - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLLL
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - FBK Karlstad	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Stocksund	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Enköping - FBK Karlstad	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Vasalund - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.10.24	Piteå - FBK Karlstad	2:3
23.06.24	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	2:3

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