Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		Järfälla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.65	Watch
	1.87	3.72	3.63
	1.88	3.85	3.59	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.86	3.54	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	3.58 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
49.1%

Draw
25.4%

Järfälla
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBK Karlstad's performance.

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Järfälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

FBK Karlstad - Järfälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 10. Bertilsson A. 8. Bjork N. 11. Faustini R. 18. Forsberg E. (C) 26. Hagelberg A. 12. Hana G. 25. Heden A. 6. Marigliano C. 3. Parleholt A. 2. Wagnsson S.	1. Liantas C. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 17. Khalil A. 5. Mazanti Nyberg F. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 11. Ogestad O. 10. Portilla A. 16. Sabery A. 15. Tinnborg H. 9. Wurtz A. (C)
Substitutes
15. Ahlstedt D. 27. Bandeh K. 4. Fredriksson L. 13. Hoiby J. 19. Noller J. (G) 17. Olsson W. 7. Qassem M.	19. Dahir K. 20. Drugge E. 7. Fox C. 31. Leijonqvist E. (G) 12. Markovski D. 21. Rajamohan A. 27. Taylan M. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Hana G. ⚽, Bertilsson A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Hana G. ⚽, Wagnsson S. (A),
60', Mazanti Nyberg F. ↓, Markovski D. ↑,
64', Faustini R. ↓, Ahlstedt D. ↑,
64', Parleholt A. ↓, Fredriksson L. ↑,
68', Wurtz A. ↓, Rajamohan A. ↑,
81', Bjork N. ↓, Qassem M. ↑,
84', Ogestad O. ↓, Dahir K. ↑,
84', Moller O. ↓, Fox C. ↑,
86', Hana G. ↓, Bandeh K. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: ) and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

FBK Karlstad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Järfälla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

FBK Karlstad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
02.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - FBK Karlstad	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Stocksund	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Enköping - FBK Karlstad	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Vasalund - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Gefle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WWLWW
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Järfälla	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Järfälla - Piteå	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Karlstad - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Järfälla - Sollentuna	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Järfälla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLLT

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