Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 23

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Plasencia		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.7	2.75
	2.49	2.68	2.75
	2.6	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.49)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plasencia
35%

Draw
32.9%

Arroyo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

33.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plasencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plasencia won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Plasencia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Plasencia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Plasencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.02.23	Montehermoso - Plasencia	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Plasencia - Trujillo	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Villafranca - Plasencia	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Plasencia - Don Álvaro	4:1 ✺
29.01.23	Calamonte - Plasencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLLWW
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.02.23	Arroyo - Trujillo	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Llerenense - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Arroyo - La Estrella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
30.10.22	Arroyo - Plasencia	1:0
23.01.22	Plasencia - Arroyo	0:0
18.04.21	Arroyo - Plasencia	1:2
27.03.21	Plasencia - Arroyo	2:1
23.02.20	Arroyo - Plasencia	1:0
06.10.19	Plasencia - Arroyo	1:0

Plasencia - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide