Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 25

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Don Álvaro		Arroyo

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Don Álvaro
30.9%

Draw
30.9%

Arroyo
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Don Álvaro's form might have worsened.

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Don Álvaro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arroyo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Álvaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.03.24	Olivenza - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Don Álvaro - Jerez	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Montehermoso - Don Álvaro	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Don Álvaro - Jaraíz	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Trujillo - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWT
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.03.24	Arroyo - Racing Valverdeño	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Azuaga - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Arroyo - Villafranca	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Fuente de Cantos - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Arroyo - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLTTW

Don Álvaro - Arroyo