Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Plasencia		Don Álvaro

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.64	3.25	4.3
	1.65	3.43	4.63
	1.68	3.54	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.17)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	4.56 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plasencia
53.9%

Draw
26.5%

Don Álvaro
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plasencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plasencia's performance.

Don Álvaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Álvaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plasencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Álvaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plasencia - Don Álvaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Plasencia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Don Álvaro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plasencia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Plasencia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Plasencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.01.23	Calamonte - Plasencia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Plasencia - Azuaga	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Jerez - Plasencia	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Llerenense - Plasencia	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	Plasencia - Fuente de Cantos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLW
- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.01.23	Don Álvaro - Azuaga	0:4 ✺
22.01.23	Llerenense - Don Álvaro	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	Don Álvaro - La Estrella	3:3 ✺
08.01.23	Don Álvaro - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Pueblonuevo - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.10.22	Don Álvaro - Plasencia	2:2
16.01.22	Don Álvaro - Plasencia	3:0

Plasencia - Don Álvaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide