Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 30

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Plasencia		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	4.61	3.76	1.6
	5.2	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.15)	3.83 ↑ (3.31)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plasencia
18.6%

Draw
23.8%

Llerenense
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.6%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

25.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plasencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llerenense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Plasencia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llerenense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Llerenense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plasencia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Plasencia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Plasencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.04.23	Fuente de Cantos - Plasencia	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	La Estrella - Plasencia	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Plasencia - Miajadas	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Olivenza - Plasencia	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Plasencia - Moralo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTLL
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.04.23	Llerenense - La Estrella	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Olivenza - Llerenense	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Llerenense - Pueblonuevo	3:3 ✺
26.03.23	Montehermoso - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Llerenense - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.01.23	Llerenense - Plasencia	3:1
19.03.22	Llerenense - Plasencia	2:1
14.11.21	Plasencia - Llerenense	0:0
20.10.19	Plasencia - Llerenense	1:0
16.12.18	Plasencia - Llerenense	4:0

Plasencia - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide