The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plasencia 25.3%
Draw 29.2%
Moralo 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.7%
28.1%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
32%
58.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plasencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moralo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plasencia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moralo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs)).
Plasencia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Moralo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Moralo is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plasencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Plasencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
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