Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday
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Montehermoso |
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Llerenense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.25 |
3.2 |
2.78 |
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2.25 |
3.29 |
2.77 |
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2.3 |
3.36 |
2.83 |
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2.25 |
3.1 |
2.88 |
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2.27 |
3.22 |
2.86 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.13) |
3.23 ↓
(3.27) |
2.82 ↓
(3.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montehermoso
40% | Draw
28% | Llerenense
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Montehermoso - Llerenense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Quijada C. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 2 - 1, Marrero M. ⚽,
- 68', 2 - 2, Peguero G. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).Montehermoso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Llerenense has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Montehermoso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Montehermoso will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).Including home match between the teams, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Llerenense - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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