Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Platges de Calvià		Collerense

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.85	6.3
	1.15	7.37	13.53	Watch
	1.47	3.8	6.31
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	4.76 ↑ (3.75)	8.14 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platges de Calvià
68.5%

Draw
19.9%

Collerense
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platges de Calvià has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platges de Calvià's performance.

Collerense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Collerense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platges de Calvià that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collerense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Platges de Calvià - Collerense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Nacho ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Nacho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 3 - 0, Oketokoun I. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 3.

Platges de Calvià is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Collerense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Collerense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Collerense has had a series of home games.

In this match, Platges de Calvià is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.10.25	Santanyí - Platges de Calvià	1:3 ✺
22.10.25	Alcúdia - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Son Cladera	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Inter Ibiza	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Platges de Calvià - Mallorca B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWT
- UD Collerense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
26.10.25	Collerense - Formentera	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Collerense - Llosetense	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Collerense - Manacor	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Mercadal - Collerense	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Collerense - Binissalem	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
29.03.25	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	0:3
16.11.24	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	1:0
03.02.24	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	1:2
17.09.23	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	1:1
19.02.23	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	1:0
15.10.22	Collerense - Platges de Calvià	1:0
26.02.22	Platges de Calvià - Collerense	0:3

Platges de Calvià - Collerense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide