Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Platges de Calvià		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.45
	2.16	2.94	3.53	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.14	3.24	3.4
	2.16	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platges de Calvià
43%

Draw
30.6%

Llosetense
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.4%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-1%)

Platges de Calvià - Llosetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
10', 0 - 2, ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, ⚽,
33', 🟥,
39', 🟥,
41', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Platges de Calvià may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Platges de Calvià will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Platges de Calvia	8	6	0	2	15:7	8	18
11	Llosetense	8	3	1	4	8:11	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Platges de Calvià
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Platges de Calvià - Cardassar	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Manacor - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Binissalem - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
04.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLT
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.01.26	Llosetense - Inter Ibiza	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Formentera - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Constancia - Llosetense	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cardassar - Llosetense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Llosetense - Manacor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.09.25	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	1:0
08.03.25	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	3:4
26.10.24	Platges de Calvià - Llosetense	0:0
14.04.24	Platges de Calvià - Llosetense	2:1
26.11.23	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	0:0
25.03.23	Llosetense - Platges de Calvià	3:2
27.11.22	Platges de Calvià - Llosetense	2:1

Platges de Calvià - Llosetense