Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Formentera		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.92	3.8
	1.99	3.12	3.79
	2	2.9	3.8
	2.02	2.96	3.73
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)	3.02 ↑ (2.98)	3.74 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Formentera
45.7%

Draw
30.1%

Llosetense
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Formentera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Llosetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Formentera - Llosetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Formentera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Llosetense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Formentera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Formentera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Formentera won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Formentera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Llosetense	5	3	1	1	8:3	5	10
9	Formentera	5	2	2	1	7:4	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.01.26	Cardassar - Formentera	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Formentera - Manacor	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Mercadal - Formentera	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Formentera - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Felanitx - Formentera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Constancia - Llosetense	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cardassar - Llosetense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Llosetense - Manacor	1:4 ✺
23.11.25	Mercadal - Llosetense	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Llosetense - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.01.25	Formentera - Llosetense	1:0
07.09.24	Llosetense - Formentera	1:0
15.11.20	Llosetense - Formentera	1:2
17.03.19	Llosetense - Formentera	0:3

Formentera - Llosetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide