Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	MDR Sport


	Plauen		Lokomotive Leipzig

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.7	1.6
	4.8	3.9	1.63
	4.79	3.94	1.64
	4.88	3.89	1.6
	5	4.2	1.5
	5.01	3.7	1.59
	4.8	3.9	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↓ (5.59)	3.89 ↓ (4.17)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plauen
19%

Draw
23.6%

Lokomotive Leipzig
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

22.1%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21.4%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Lokomotive Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotive Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotive Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Plauen - Lokomotive Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Plauen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lokomotive Leipzig will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Kämpfer 🟥,
90', 0 - 1, Abderrahmane F. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Recent matches Plauen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokomotive Leipzig is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lokomotive Leipzig is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plauen won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Plauen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.11.24	Altglienicke - Plauen	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Plauen - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Luckenwalde - Plauen	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Chemnitzer - Plauen	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Plauen - Greifswald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 LLWWW
- Lokomotive Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
08.11.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemnitzer	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Greifswald - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1 ✺
25.10.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Berliner FC Dynamo - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Chemie Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.01.19	Plauen - Lokomotive Leipzig	Canceled
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
27.02.16	Lokomotive Leipzig - Plauen	3:0
21.08.15	Plauen - Lokomotive Leipzig	1:1
German Regionalliga Nordost
25.04.14	Plauen - Lokomotive Leipzig	3:3
26.10.13	Lokomotive Leipzig - Plauen	0:0

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