Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 22

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Plymouth Parkway		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	3	3.45	2.05
	3.08	3.84	2.06	Watch
	3	3.25	2.05
	3.02	3.54	2.05
	3.14	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)	3.52 ↓ (3.93)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
29.8%

Draw
25.9%

Gosport Borough
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

23.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

23.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Fernandes M. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Fernandes M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 2, Garside R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 2.

Plymouth Parkway is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Gosport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gosport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Plymouth Parkway has had a series of away games.

Gosport will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth Parkway won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Plymouth Parkway: 8.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23:8	15	20
13	Gosport	10	3	3	4	13:13	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.49%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Gosport Borough - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	7:0 ✺
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
23.12.25	Farnham Town - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Weymouth - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Chatham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Farnham Town - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Gosport Borough - Hanwell Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Gosport Borough - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	3:2
English Southern League South Division
22.02.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	2:0
30.11.24	Gosport Borough - Plymouth Parkway	0:0
13.01.24	Gosport Borough - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
12.08.23	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	0:2
07.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	2:0
27.08.22	Gosport Borough - Plymouth Parkway	5:1

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