Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Pobeda Khasavyurt		Neftyanik Izberbash

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (2.3)	4.2 ↑ (2.83)	8.5 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda Khasavyurt
67.7%

Draw
21.6%

Neftyanik Izberbash
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

32.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda Khasavyurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pobeda Khasavyurt's performance.

Neftyanik Izberbash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftyanik Izberbash might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pobeda Khasavyurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftyanik Izberbash could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pobeda Khasavyurt - Neftyanik Izberbash Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pobeda will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Neftyanik will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Pobeda (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pobeda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Avagumyan A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Vagabov I. ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, Azarenkov M. ⚽,
43', 4 - 0, Zhiga A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 5 - 0, Bitarov T. ⚽,
59', 6 - 0, Vagabov I. ⚽,
65', 7 - 0, Ismailov A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Pobeda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Neftyanik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Pobeda is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42
12	Izberbash	25	7	2	16	21:62	-41	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.05.26	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nart Cherkessk - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rubin Yalta - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWLT
- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.05.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Astrakhan - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Nalchik - Neftyanik Izberbash	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dinskaya - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL

Pobeda Khasavyurt - Neftyanik Izberbash: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide