Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Astrakhan		Pobeda Khasavyurt

	1	X	2
	2	3.09	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.39)	3.09 ↑ (3)	3.89 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrakhan
46.3%

Draw
29.9%

Pobeda Khasavyurt
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astrakhan's performance.

Pobeda Khasavyurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pobeda Khasavyurt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pobeda Khasavyurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Bitarov T. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Avagumyan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, Goryaev D. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Ismailov A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Astrakhan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Astrakhan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42
11	Astrakhan	24	6	6	12	25:36	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Astrakhan - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Druzhba Maykop - Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Astrakhan - Nart Cherkessk	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kyzyltash - Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Astrakhan - Rubin Yalta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTTLW
- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Nart Cherkessk - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rubin Yalta - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Kyzyltash	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
20.08.25	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
05.07.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Astrakhan	1:0
19.04.25	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2
19.10.24	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Astrakhan	2:0
18.06.24	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:0
17.09.23	Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:1

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