The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Druzhba Maykop 34.6%
Draw 30.2%
Spartak Nalchik 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
30.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
29%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Druzhba Maykop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Spartak Nalchik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druzhba Maykop than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Druzhba Maykop - Spartak Nalchik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Ibragimov M. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Konov A. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 2 - 1, Solop A. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Druzhba won 2.
Druzhba has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Spartak N is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Spartak N could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Spartak N has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Druzhba has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:24 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Druzhba against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.5:0.6 per game).
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