Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pobeda Khasavyurt		Zarya

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.48	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobeda Khasavyurt
46.1%

Draw
26.1%

Zarya
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

24.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda Khasavyurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Zarya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Pobeda Khasavyurt - Zarya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Salimov R. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 2 - 0, Avagumyan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Umarov I. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

Pobeda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zarya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pobeda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pobeda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pobeda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42
10	Lugansk	24	8	6	10	34:33	1	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
01.08.26	Chayka 2 - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Shakhtyor Taganrog	4:3 ✺
04.07.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Rostov 2	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Zarya - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWTW
- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.08.26	Zarya - Spartak Nalchik	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Zarya - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Zarya	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Astrakhan - Zarya	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Zarya - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.06.26	Zarya - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2

Pobeda Khasavyurt - Zarya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide