Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod		Chelyabinsk 2

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.65	9.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	4.65 ↑ (4.25)	9.59 ↑ (9.25)

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Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
70.5%

Draw
19.9%

Chelyabinsk 2
9.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.8%

21.4%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

20.6%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Chelyabinsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Pobeda is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Relegation Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Chelyabinsk 2 ✔	31	6	6	19	24:48	-24	24

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
03.05.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Izhevsk	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	KDV Tomsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Orenburg-2	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rubin 2 Kazan - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLTW
- FC Chelyabinsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
03.05.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Ural 2	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Chelyabinsk 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Izhevsk	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	KDV Tomsk - Chelyabinsk 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.6 TWLLW

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Chelyabinsk 2