FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Championship Group - Round 7
Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1
X
2
1.56
4.11
5.12
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.56 ↓ (1.65)
4.11 ↑ (3.9)
5.12 ↑ (4.42)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Khimik Dzerzhinsk 59.4%
Draw 22.5%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 18.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.7%
23.6%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
21.7%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Gruznov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Weber D. ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, Gruznov I. ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, Breslavtsev I. ⚽,
64', 5 - 0, Nikiforov N. ⚽,
Preview
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Pobeda has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Khimik Dzerzhinsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Khimik Dzerzhinsk in today's match, at odds of 1.49.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Khimik Dzerzhinsk has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Khimik Dzerzhinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
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