Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Khimik Dzerzhinsk		Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.3	5.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)	4.3 ↑ (3.8)	5.59 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
62.6%

Draw
21.1%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

23.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik Dzerzhinsk's performance.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik Dzerzhinsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Gordeev K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Savinov A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 3).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Khimik Dzerzhinsk is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Khimik Dzerzhinsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Khimik	28	23	2	3	67:19	48	71
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	28	15	5	8	59:42	17	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
29.04.26	Ural 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Chelyabinsk 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Izhevsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - KDV Tomsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
29.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Izhevsk	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	KDV Tomsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	4:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Orenburg-2	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Rubin 2 Kazan - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Nosta Novotroitsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWW

Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide