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Current Win Probability
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 45.7%
Draw 21.4%
Ural 2 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
21.4%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
20.1%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's form might have worsened.
Ural 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ural 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ural 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Ural 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Burdenev E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Ryzhkov I. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Mikhaylovskiy R. ⚽,
45', Lazarev I. 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 1, Kupriyanov N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 4 - 1, Kupriyanov N. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).
Pobeda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ural 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Pobeda is considered a favorite.
We predict that Pobeda will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pobeda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.