Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Pobla de Mafumet		Girona B

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	2.85	2.85	2.5
	2.91	2.76	2.46
	2.91	2.76	2.47
	2.89	2.94	2.44
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.22)	2.84 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pobla de Mafumet
31.6%

Draw
31.9%

Girona B
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pobla de Mafumet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pobla de Mafumet's form might have worsened.

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Girona B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pobla de Mafumet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Girona B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pobla de Mafumet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pobla de Mafumet won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pobla de Mafumet won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pobla de Mafumet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
24.02.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Reus FC Reddis	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Rapitenca - Pobla de Mafumet	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Prat	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Olot - Pobla de Mafumet	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Mollerussa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW
- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Girona B - Peralada	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Montañesa - Girona B	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Girona B - Vilafranca	7:3 ✺
10.02.24	LEscala - Girona B	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vilassar de Mar - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	2:4
26.02.23	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	1:1
23.10.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Girona B	1:0
20.03.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Girona B	1:0
14.11.21	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0

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