Match Info

K3 League - Round 27

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Pocheon Stadium (Pocheon)


	Pocheon		Ulsan Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.55	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.62	3.81	5.31
	1.72	3.84	4.41	Watch
	1.71	4.24	4	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	4.74 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pocheon
56.6%

Draw
24%

Ulsan Citizen
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pocheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: Pocheon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pocheon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pocheon won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pocheon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pocheon is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pocheon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pocheon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
27.09.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Pocheon	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Pocheon - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Pocheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Pocheon - Siheung	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Mokpo City - Pocheon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTLT
- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
30.09.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
26.09.25	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
06.06.25	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	1:2
02.11.24	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:1
22.06.24	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	2:2
05.11.23	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:3
11.06.23	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1
03.07.22	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	1:1
19.03.22	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	2:1

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