The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ulsan Citizen 26.9%
Draw 28%
Busan Kyotong 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
28.8%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
29.3%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Busan Kyotong's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busan Kyotong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 1.
Ulsan Citizen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Busan Kyotong is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Busan Kyotong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Busan Kyotong has had a series of home games.
Busan Kyotong could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).