Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: MOSiR Rybnik-Kamien (Rybnik)


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Karviná

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7	4.5	1.4	Watch
	6.81	4.41	1.4
	7.01	4.45	1.39	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	7.4	5.27	1.37	Watch
	6.2	4.7	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (4.2)	4.66 ↑ (3.9)	1.39 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
13.6%

Draw
19.9%

Karviná
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

23.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

23.9%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karviná's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Karviná Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Forenc K. (G) . Biernat M. . Dziwniel D. . Florek B. . Kizyma M. . Kolenc J. . Mrsic M. . Osyra K. . Tomczyk P. . Willman M. . Ziolkowski M.	. Knobloch M. (G) . Bergqvist D. . Cavos P. . Fleisman J. . Kahuan Vinicius . Krcik D. . Memic A. . Mikus R. . Planka D. . Raznatovic A. . Samko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, (Pen),
16', 0 - 2, ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Florek B. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
37', 1 - 3, ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Dziwniel D. ↓, Gach K. ↑,
51', 🟨,
52', 2 - 3, (Own goal),
57', 🟨,
60', Florek B. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,
60', Tomczyk P. ↓, Bieronski B. ↑,
65', Biernat M. ↓, Sciuk D. ↑,
75', Kolenc J. ↓, Trialist ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', 3 - 3, ⚽,
88', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Podbeskidzie is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karviná is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karviná could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Karviná have a series of guest games.

In this match Karviná is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zlín	2:4 ✺
28.06.24	Opava - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Motor Lublin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
13.05.24	Miedź Legnica - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL
- MFK Karviná
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Piast Gliwice - Karviná	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	GKS Tychy - Karviná	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Karviná	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.06.24	Karviná - Vyškov	1:0 ✺
30.05.24	Vyškov - Karviná	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.23	Karviná - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:3
13.07.12	Karviná - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	N/A

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