Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Podgorica		Mornar Bar

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.33	2.7	3.58
	2.26	3.1	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.77)	2.86 ↓ (2.87)	3.27 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podgorica
40.4%

Draw
31.8%

Mornar Bar
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podgorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podgorica's performance.

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mornar Bar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podgorica than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podgorica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mornar Bar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podgorica - Mornar Bar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podgorica won 0.

Recent matches Podgorica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mornar Bar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Mornar Bar have a series of home games.

Podgorica will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Podgorica won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Podgorica won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Podgorica
Montenegrin First League
10.04.22	Petrovac - Podgorica	1:1 ✺
06.04.22	Podgorica - Sutjeska	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Podgorica - Dečić Tuzi	3:3 ✺
20.03.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Podgorica	2:0 ✺
13.03.22	Podgorica - Rudar Pljevlja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTLW
- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
10.04.22	Mornar Bar - Budućnost Podgorica	0:2 ✺
06.04.22	Mornar Bar - Petrovac	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Mornar Bar - Sutjeska	0:2 ✺
20.03.22	Dečić Tuzi - Mornar Bar	4:0 ✺
13.03.22	Mornar Bar - Iskra Danilovgrad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
24.02.22	Mornar Bar - Podgorica	2:2
23.10.21	Podgorica - Mornar Bar	1:1
07.08.21	Mornar Bar - Podgorica	3:1
Montenegrin Cup
22.11.17	Podgorica - Mornar Bar	3:0
01.11.17	Mornar Bar - Podgorica	0:2
Montenegrin First League
29.05.16	Podgorica - Mornar Bar	0:1
23.02.16	Mornar Bar - Podgorica	2:0

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