Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Podlasie Biała Podlaska

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.86	3.8	3.35
	1.81	3.45	3.25
	1.86	3.84	3.45	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.86	3.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 (1.85)	3.7 (3.7)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
48.7%

Draw
24.4%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

24.3%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

23.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podhale won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Podhale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Podhale might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Podhale won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Podhale won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Wisłoka Dębica	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTTL
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wisłoka Dębica	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0
13.04.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0
16.09.23	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:0
15.04.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:0
10.09.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:1
16.04.22	Podhale Nowy Targ - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0
08.09.21	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1

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