Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.45	2.58
	2.59	3.86	2.22
	15.00	12.42	1.00	Watch
	2.53	3.52	2.33	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (2.3)	5.35 ↑ (3.48)	2.14 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
23.6%

Draw
21.8%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podlasie Biała Podlaska's form might have worsened.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podlasie Biała Podlaska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Zbroinski B. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Zbroinski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 3, Majda O. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lubaczów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Biała Podlaska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.25	Cracovia 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:4 ✺
28.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWLT
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:4 ✺
06.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.03.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2
31.08.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:0

Upcoming Matches