Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Nowy Targ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Podhale Nowy Targ		ŁKS Łódź II

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	1.37	4.45	6.5
	1.4	4.5	7.27
	1.45	4.33	6.38	Watch
	1.42	4.57	6.86	Watch
	1.43	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	4.44 ↑ (3.86)	6.44 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
65%

Draw
20.7%

ŁKS Łódź II
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.

ŁKS Łódź II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ŁKS Łódź II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podhale Nowy Targ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź II than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ŁKS Łódź II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podhale Nowy Targ - ŁKS Łódź II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Styrczula M. (G) 87. Kurzeja B. 42. Lipien M. 29. Marcinho 19. Michota M. 23. Mikolajczyk B. 27. Pena C. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 8. Vaclavik R. 21. Vosko P.	1. Jakubowski L. (G) 15. Czerwinski W. 10. Grabowski P. 8. Kabzinski V. 7. Mlynarczyk A. 4. Rozwandowicz M. 9. Siwek A. 5. Slezak A. (C) 2. Sokolowski D. 21. Szczygiel L. 16. Zajac J.
Substitutes
20. Chojecki A. 77. Cielemecki R. 33. Fratczak D. (G) 99. Giel P. 18. Kozarzewski A. 30. Kumorek M. 17. Nowak A. 11. Purcha B. 7. Seweryn L.	17. Coulibaly L. 3. Frakowski S. 13. Kielbasinski M. 12. Klimek B. 11. Kotarba M. 14. Rzemyszkiewicz W. 20. Sopel S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟨,
71', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Podhale is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ŁKS Łódź II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

ŁKS Łódź II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Podhale is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
27.09.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - KKS Kalisz	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sokół Kleczew - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWT
- ŁKS Łódź II
Polish Division 2
29.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
19.09.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	KKS Kalisz - ŁKS Łódź II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTLL

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