Match Info

Division 2 - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Podhale Nowy Targ		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.65
	1.53	4.09	5.71
	1.62	3.91	4.92	Watch
	1.56	4.06	5.47	Watch
	1.7	3.7	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.92)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	4.92 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
57.6%

Draw
23.6%

KKS Kalisz
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.3%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KKS Kalisz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podhale Nowy Targ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KKS Kalisz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podhale Nowy Targ - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Styrczula M. (G) 20. Chojecki A. 77. Cielemecki R. 30. Kumorek M. 87. Kurzeja B. 19. Michota M. 11. Purcha B. 16. Rubis J. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R. 21. Vosko P.	1. Krakowiak M. (G) 71. Banasiak P. 23. Bialczyk M. 6. Cierpka A. 10. Danielak K. 3. Gawlik M. 35. Kieliba B. (C) 19. Paszkowski J. 16. Putno B. 5. Staszak J. 37. Zawistowski N.
Substitutes
33. Fratczak D. (G) 99. Giel P. 42. Lipien M. 29. Marcinho 23. Mikolajczyk B. 9. Niedzialkowski M. 10. Nowak A. 27. Pena C. 2. Salak K.	12. Ciolek M. (G) 21. Flak J. 9. Flisiuk K. 22. Kitowski N. 80. Rozycki J. 4. Wypych M. 30. Zajac R. 59. Zdybowicz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Banasiak P. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Kumorek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Rubis J. ↓, Mikolajczyk B. ↑,
59', Vosko P. ↓, Salak K. ↑,
60', Vaclavik R. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
60', Purcha B. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
65', Banasiak P. 🟨,
65', Banasiak P. ↓, Flisiuk K. ↑,
65', Zawistowski N. ↓, Flak J. ↑,
74', Danielak K. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,
88', Cierpka A. ↓, Zdybowicz P. ↑,
90', Kurzeja B. ↓, Niedzialkowski M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Podhale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Podhale is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
12.09.25	Sokół Kleczew - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTTT
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
14.09.25	KKS Kalisz - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	KKS Kalisz - ŁKS Łódź II	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - KKS Kalisz	3:3 ✺
17.08.25	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWTL

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