Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.88
	2.43	2.95	2.78
	2.26	3.11	3.1	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.46	2.92	2.75
	2.25	3.13	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	2.84 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
37.9%

Draw
30.3%

Chernihiv
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 18. Azizov D. 88. Baran R. 8. Bodnya R. 17. Demchenko A. 10. Kulish M. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 21. Rudyuk V. 27. Serbinov D. 11. Shershen V. 77. Snizhko O. (C)	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 21. Bezborodko D. 8. Bybik A. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y. 38. Shushko P. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
6. Bezruchuk O. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 9. Perekhodko M. 28. Ryazantsev Y. 2. Savchuk P. 19. Shkinder V. 33. Yurchuk V. (G) 22. Zayets S.	13. Bezgubchenko D. 17. Chaban V. 24. Dmytrovych D. D. 20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasimenko D. (G) 9. Kulyk D. 7. Myronenko D. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 30. Teplyakov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 12).

Podillya is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chernihiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Chernihiv has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podillya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Podillya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.04.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Viktoriya Sumy	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Inhulets - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLLW
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Chernihiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chernihiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	Chernihiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1
27.04.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	2:1
23.03.24	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
23.05.21	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	1:0
07.11.20	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:3

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