Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pogoń Szczecin		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.9	Watch
	1.95	3.50	3.60
	2.15	3.35	3.05
	2.27	3.53	3.23
	2.15	3.58	3.29	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.2	3.53	3.17	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.94)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	3.16 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
43.1%

Draw
27.1%

Wisła Płock
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

25.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Szczecin's form might have worsened.

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wisła Płock (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Wisła Płock (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 25%). Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 15. Ali H. 13. Keramitsis D. 29. Willen L. 23. Mendy B. 47. Lawa N. 16. Dziczek P. (C) 6. Bieganski J. 21. Churlinov D. 18. Mukairu P. 35. Wojciechowski M.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 34. Silva A. 21. Rogelj Z. 17. Radwanski A. 5. Tavares S. 19. Gallapeni D. 11. Jimenez J. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 23. Kun P.
Substitutes
3. Acosta K. 30. Czaplinski J. 89. Fojut A. (G) 11. Grosicki K. 7. Juwara M. 17. Nsame J. 75. Ossowski A. 42. Paryzek P. 33. Peskovic A. (G) 41. Szalai At.	26. Burek J. (G) 10. Hamulic S. 16. Hiszpanski F. 7. Kobacki O. 77. Koscielecki M. 91. Kuchko G. 44. Misiak P. 6. Pomorski K. 18. Prsir J. 88. Savvidis K. 41. Wieckowski M.
Coaches
Garcia O.	Majewski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Jimenez J. ↓, Kobacki O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Bieganski J. ⚽,
59', Lawa N. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Haglind-Sangre M. ⚽,
70', Sekulski L. ↓, Koscielecki M. ↑,
71', Dziczek P. 🟨,
73', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Czaplinski J. ↑,
74', Bieganski J. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
78', Tavares S. 🟨,
83', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
84', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
85', Churlinov D. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
85', Ali H. ↓, Szalai At. ↑,
90', Kun P. 🟨,
90+4', Willen L. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.

Pogoń Szczecin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wisła Płock's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Botis N. (Inactive) Cuic F. (Red Card) Ndiaye M. (Inactive) Pozo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zawadzki J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Pacheco D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Wahlqvist L. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 5.55% Wisla Plock: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 25.34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Cup
03.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.08.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWW
- Wisła Płock
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Luzino - Wisła Płock	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.08.26	Wisła Płock - Korona Kielce	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	5:0 ✺
07.08.26	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Wisła Płock - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
03.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	3:0
03.11.25	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0
26.02.23	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1
13.08.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	2:2
08.04.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	1:2
17.10.21	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0
10.04.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	2:0

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