Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Cracovia		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.10	Watch
	2.30	3.20	3.10
	2.28	3.05	3.25
	2.35	3.31	3.31
	2.3	3.06	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.25
	2.16	3.38	3.40	Watch
	2.24	3.20	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	3.21 ↑ (3.14)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
41.8%

Draw
29.3%

Pogoń Szczecin
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cracovia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 39. Perkovic M. 43. Klich M. 5. Selan B. 6. Al Ammari A. 14. Hasic A. 18. Zahiroleslam K. 70. Kameri D.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. (C) 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 4. Leo Borges 16. Dziczek P. 3. Acosta K. 21. Churlinov D. 35. Wojciechowski M. 18. Mukairu P. 10. Cuic F.
Substitutes
9. Bogacz W. 28. Burlet V. 77. Chrapusta J. (G) 29. Dej W. 15. Glik K. 38. Marciniak A. 17. Minchev M. 79. Pila D. 7. Praszelik M. 23. Ravas H. (G) 92. Skoczylas M. 21. Smiglewski K.	15. Ali H. 6. Bieganski J. 30. Czaplinski J. 11. Grosicki K. 83. Holewinski A. (G) 7. Juwara M. 47. Lawa N. 23. Mendy B. 19. Ndiaye M. 17. Nsame J. 33. Peskovic A. (G) 8. Ulvestad F.
Coaches
Grzelak B.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Kameri D. 🟨,
35', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Leo Borges ⚽, Mukairu P. (A),
48', Al Ammari A. 🟨,
54', Henriksson G. ↓, Burlet V. ↑,
55', Selan B. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
60', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
60', Churlinov D. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
60', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
67', Zahiroleslam K. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
79', Szalai At. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
83', Klich M. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
84', Kakabadze O. ↓, Pila D. ↑,
86', Cuic F. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Mukairu P. ⚽, Mendy B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 1.

Cracovia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cracovia has had a series of home games.

Cracovia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cracovia: Bogacz W. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R. (Knee Injury) Pozo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 5.63% Cracovia: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15
11	Cracovia	10	3	2	5	12:15	-3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.26	Cracovia - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
09.07.26	Cracovia - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Cracovia - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
03.07.26	Cracovia - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 TWWWL
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Sturm Graz - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Pogoń Szczecin	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
25.04.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1
25.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	2:1
14.03.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	5:2
14.09.24	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
30.03.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	3:1
23.09.23	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	1:5
08.04.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia	3:2

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