Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.88
	2.15	3.62	2.89	Watch
	2.12	3.62	2.85	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2)	3.66 ↓ (3.88)	2.86 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
43.2%

Draw
24.9%

Unia Swarzędz
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

23.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

23.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Dionata ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Lis J. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Dejewski T. ⚽,
51', Keramitsis D. 🟥,
85', 2 - 2, Stanowski K. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2.

Pogoń Szczecin II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unia Swarzędz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unia Swarzędz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.09.25	Luzino - Pogoń Szczecin II	6:0 ✺
31.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:0 ✺
27.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.04.25	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1
15.09.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	1:1
08.06.24	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0
19.11.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	3:1
19.03.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	3:0
17.08.22	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2
11.11.20	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1

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