Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Unia Swarzędz		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.30
	2.38	3.65	2.32
	2.29	4.00	2.48
	2.39	4.07	2.34	Watch
	2.15	3.95	2.45
	2.26	3.84	2.44	Watch
	2.49	3.41	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.49)	3.81 ↑ (3.41)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
38.6%

Draw
23.6%

Lech Poznań 2
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

25.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Zaborniak D. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Dziuba M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lech Poznań 2 - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw	2:4 ✺
23.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Chemik Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Unia Swarzędz	2:0
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4
26.04.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	2:1
29.09.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Unia Swarzędz	3:1

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