Match Info

Division 1 - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2
	2.85	3.5	2.2
	2.8	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.21	3.83	2.09
	3.21	3.01	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.84	3.48	2.26
	3.2	3.35	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.69)	3.45 ↑ (3)	2.19 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
30.7%

Draw
26.9%

Miedź Legnica
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miedź Legnica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miedź Legnica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 21. Los K. (C) 16. Gajgier A. 99. Noiszewski K. 6. Farbiszewski B. 11. Kargulewicz K. 77. Adkonis J. 20. Wypart O. 71. Szczepaniak M. 4. Korczakowski I. 19. Adamski R.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 69. Rezacz W. 3. Grudzinski M. 5. Kovacevic A. (C) 28. Diallo B. 6. Podgorski J. 8. Serafin J. 27. Letniowski J. 98. Antonik K. 9. Engvall G. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
9. Gieroba S. 80. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 27. Konstantyn J. 13. Lis J. 52. Olewinski O. 26. Piwowarczyk J. 31. Staniszewski J.	7. Bochnak M. 18. Cordoba A. 14. Drygas K. 26. Hartherz F. 99. Kwiecien B. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 49. Szymoniak O. 44. Wrabel J. (G)
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Lobodzinski W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Adkonis J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Szczepaniak M. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
45+1', Letniowski J. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Szczepaniak M. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Grudzinski M. (Own goal),
62', Engvall G. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
66', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
66', Wypart O. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
74', Antonik K. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
74', Rezacz W. ↓, Szymoniak O. ↑,
76', Kovacevic A. 🟨,
78', Korczakowski I. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
78', Kargulewicz K. ↓, Olewinski O. ↑,
84', Adamski R. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Lis J. ⚽, Noiszewski K. (A),

Preview

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Miedź has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Miedź has had a series of away games.

Miedź will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
26.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
02.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWWWT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
28.07.25	Odra Opole - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Polkowice - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:3 ✺
04.07.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL

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