Match Info

Division 1 - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.02	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.65	3.31
	2.03	3.48	3.52	Watch
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.05	3.54	3.21
	1.9	3.65	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.78)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	3.36 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
45.8%

Draw
26.6%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perchel M. (G) 10. Cholewiak M. 13. Kanach R. 2. Kasolik K. 8. Mrozinski P. 34. Piekarski A. 9. Smiglewski K. 27. Solowiej L. 5. Stepien K. (C) 7. Stepien M. 16. Walski M.	1. Kieszek P. (G) 19. Adamski R. 77. Adkonis J. 6. Farbiszewski B. 16. Gajgier A. 11. Kargulewicz K. 4. Korczakowski I. 13. Lis J. 21. Los K. (C) 99. Noiszewski K. 20. Wypart O.
Substitutes
67. Barczak N. 18. Francois E. 4. Galazka A. 17. Iwao K. 77. Juszczyk B. 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 19. Stec J.	9. Gieroba S. 80. Glacel M. (G) 24. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. . Konstantyn J. . Olewinski O. 31. Staniszewski J. 71. Szczepaniak M.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Stokowiec P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Gajgier A. (Own goal),
25', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Wypart O. ⚽, Korczakowski I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lis J. 🟨,
51', Adamski R. 🟨,
60', Kanach R. ↓, Francois E. ↑,
63', Kasolik K. 🟨,
63', Lis J. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
64', Wypart O. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
78', Smiglewski K. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
78', Stepien K. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
78', Solowiej L. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
78', Korczakowski I. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
85', Stepien M. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
85', Kargulewicz K. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
85', Adkonis J. ↓, Staniszewski J. ↑,
90+3', Cholewiak M. 🟨,

Preview

Puszcza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Puszcza could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
21.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Maccabi Bnei Raina	5:0 ✺
09.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:5 ✺
28.06.25	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTLT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
19.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
02.07.25	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTL

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