Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 7

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Stolem Gniewino

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.96	4.35
	1.58	4.1	4.8	Watch
	1.53	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.3)	4.02 ↓ (5.4)	4.65 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
57.9%

Draw
22.6%

Stolem Gniewino
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

16.7%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

16%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's form might have worsened.

Stolem Gniewino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stolem Gniewino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stolem Gniewino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 15).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stolem Gniewino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.09.23	Sokół Kleczew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:4 ✺
27.08.23	Starogard Gdański - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:5 ✺
19.08.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWW
- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
02.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Starogard Gdański	2:3 ✺
27.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Stolem Gniewino - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Unia Swarzędz - Stolem Gniewino	4:3 ✺
11.08.23	Stolem Gniewino - Flota Świnoujście	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.04.23	Stolem Gniewino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:1
24.09.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Stolem Gniewino	1:2
02.04.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Stolem Gniewino	0:0
28.08.21	Stolem Gniewino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:4

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Stolem Gniewino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide