Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 21

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Nehringa (Szczecin)


	Pogoń Tczew		Resovia Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.45	4.5	5.4
	1.29	5.14	7.22
	1.36	4.95	6.67	Watch
	1.4	5.45	5.45	Watch
	1.45	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.84 ↑ (4.2)	5.94 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Tczew
65.7%

Draw
18.9%

Resovia Rzeszów
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

16.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Tczew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Resovia Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Tczew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resovia Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Resovia Rzeszów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Tczew - Resovia Rzeszów Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Pogoń Tczew (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Tczew (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banaszkiewicz A. (G) 17. Abe N. 98. Andrzejewska W. 18. Drozak J. 25. Iriguchi N. 10. Kaminska K. 5. Korda M. 15. Kroupa H. 33. Sobierajska E. 11. Tobiczyk K. (C) 89. Wierzbinska B.	23. Pydych N. (G) 19. Czyz K. 16. Florek W. 7. Gajdur K. 22. Golojuch R. 47. Kowalska M. 99. Krawczyk G. 9. Michalska A. 6. Puzio A. 77. Sabuda E. 8. Strasinska M.
Substitutes
9. Conceicao I. 16. Cygan A. 26. Golec M. 99. Gomes C. 12. Jarguz A. (G) 8. Milewska M. 71. Rydlewska B. (G) 6. Witczak A.	3. Jednacz M. 42. Jezioro K. 17. Kwoka J. 2. Marszal M. 10. Mikrut W. 14. Mis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Kowalska M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Abe N. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, Sabuda E. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Abe N. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Kaminska K. ⚽,
90', 3 - 3, Krawczyk G. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Pogoń Tczew is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Resovia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pogoń Tczew is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pogoń Tczew won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
03.05.25	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Tczew	7:2 ✺
27.04.25	Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Pogoń Tczew - UKS SMS Łódź	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	Pogoń Tczew - Górnik Łęczna	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWLL
- FC Resovia Rzeszów Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
01.05.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	0:6 ✺
27.04.25	AP Gdańsk - Resovia Rzeszów	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Resovia Rzeszów	8:1 ✺
22.03.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:6 ✺
15.03.25	Skra Częstochowa - Resovia Rzeszów	R. Rzeszow W awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
03.11.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Pogoń Tczew	1:1

Pogoń Tczew - Resovia Rzeszów: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide