Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 21

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Pogoń Tczew		Stomilanki Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.55	2.45
	2.39	4.06	2.24
	2.42	4.16	2.28	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.38
	2.47	3.81	2.42
	2.35	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.35)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Tczew
38%

Draw
24%

Stomilanki Olsztyn
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Tczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Stomilanki Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomilanki Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Pogoń Tczew is Relegated to

Stomilanki Olsztyn is Relegated to

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Tczew won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Tczew won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
16.05.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Tczew	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Pogoń Tczew - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	5:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Tczew - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:8 ✺
04.04.26	AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WLLLW
- Stomilanki Olsztyn
Polish Ekstraliga Women
10.05.26	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
06.05.26	GKS Katowice - Stomilanki Olsztyn	5:0 ✺
02.05.26	AP Gdańsk - Stomilanki Olsztyn	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Stomilanki Olsztyn - UKS SMS Łódź	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Stomilanki Olsztyn	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
30.10.25	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew	2:1
27.04.25	Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn	1:2
06.10.24	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew	2:0
05.05.24	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew	2:0
14.10.23	Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn	2:1

Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide