Match Info

World Cup Women - Qualification - League A

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT 2, SVT Play
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Italy W		Sweden W

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.35	3.2	2.12
	3.38	3.26	2.13
	8.84	4.35	1.37	Watch
	3.2	3	2.05
	3.31	3.14	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.23)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
22.9%

Draw
28.4%

Sweden W
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Italy W - Sweden W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) AC Milan 19. Lenzini M. Juventus 5. Linari E. (C) London City Lionesses 3. Di Guglielmo L. AS Roma 13. Oliviero E. Lazio 18. Caruso A. Bayern Munich 6. Giugliano M. AS Roma 8. Severini E. Fiorentina 11. Bonansea B. Juventus 7. Cantore S. Washington Spirit 21. Cambiaghi M. Juventus	12. Falk J. (G) Liverpool 2. Holmberg S. Arsenal 13. Andersson B. Real Madrid 22. Junttila-Nelhage E. Lyon 4. Lundkvist H. Manchester United 16. Angeldal F. Real Madrid 9. Asllani K. (C) London City Lionesses 15. Zigiotti Olme J. Manchester United 19. Kaneryd J. Chelsea 17. Schroder F. Hacken 6. Jusu Bah M. Hacken
Substitutes
12. Baldi R. (G) AS Roma 14. Beccari C. Juventus 2. Bergamaschi V. AS Roma 4. D'Auria F. Lazio 16. Dragoni G. AS Roma 22. Durante F. (G) Lazio 10. Girelli C. Juventus 15. Glionna B. Inter 20. Greggi G. AS Roma 9. Piemonte M. Lazio 23. Salvai C. Juventus 17. Soffia A. AC Milan	20. Bennison H. Real Madrid 23. Blomqvist R. Eintracht Frankfurt 21. Enblom T. (G) Valerenga 8. Ijeh E. AC Milan 10. Kafaji R. Brighton 3. Nilden A. Tottenham 1. Ohman M. (G) Malmo FF 5. Reidy S. Hammarby 18. Rolfo F. Manchester United 7. Vinberg M. Tottenham 14. Wijk H. Tottenham
Coaches
Soncin A.	Almgren J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Angeldal F. ⚽, Schroder F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
51', Cambiaghi M. 🟨,
62', Cantore S. ↓, Piemonte M. ↑,
62', Cambiaghi M. ↓, Beccari C. ↑,
68', Severini E. 🟨,
69', Schroder F. ↓, Blomqvist R. ↑,
74', Jusu Bah M. ↓, Rolfo F. ↑,
75', Severini E. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
80', Bonansea B. 🟨,
84', Giugliano M. ↓, Dragoni G. ↑,
84', Bonansea B. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
85', Girelli C. 🟨,
85', Zigiotti Olme J. 🟨,
87', Kaneryd J. ↓, Ijeh E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0.

Sweden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Outrights of FIFA World Cup Women for now

Sweden W: 3.45% Italy W: 2.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W
Friendly International Women
01.12.25	USA W - Italy W	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	USA W - Italy W	3:0 ✺
28.10.25	Italy W - Brazil W	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Italy W - Japan W	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
22.07.25	England W - Italy W	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Sweden W
UEFA Nations League Women
02.12.25	Sweden W - France W	2:2 ET ✺
28.11.25	France W - Sweden W	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Sweden W - Spain W	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Spain W - Sweden W	4:0 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
17.07.25	Sweden W - England W	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League Women
30.05.25	Italy W - Sweden W	0:0
04.04.25	Sweden W - Italy W	3:2
31.10.23	Sweden W - Italy W	1:1
26.09.23	Italy W - Sweden W	0:1
FIFA World Cup Women
29.07.23	Sweden W - Italy W	5:0
Algarve Cup Women
23.02.22	Italy W - Sweden W	1:2 penalties
Friendly International Women
09.10.18	Italy W - Sweden W	1:0

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