Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 7

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kavumba Recreation Centre (Wakiso)


	Police		Mbale Heroes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.42	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	4.93 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
54.9%

Draw
26.6%

Mbale Heroes
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.6%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mbale Heroes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbale Heroes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kasibante E. (G) 4. Adewale B. 14. Bukenya A. 26. Figo 2. Iguma D. (C) 17. Kabuye S. 22. Kiwalaze T. 19. Obedi B. 10. Ocen B. 9. Ogwang I. 18. Otto D.	19. Delton O. (G) 14. Benard N. 6. Etoju A. 10. Kaggwa P. 12. Kakeeto D. 28. Kato H. 22. Kyebatala U. 23. Matata J. 18. Sahni Olega C. 3. Sserugo A. 16. Waiswa C.
Substitutes
24. Eragu G. S. 8. Eyam I. . Jakony D. . Jemba R. 25. Kalanzi D. . Mugume E. . Muwanguzi T. . Obua K. . Ogweti G. . Oloka S. . Ssengooba I. . Wasswa H.	30. Adima H. 8. Bashir O. 2. Etou G. 26. Katumba E. 24. Mujampwani P. (G) 7. Ofoyrwoth I. 15. Ssekajja D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ocen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kiwalaze T. ↓, Eragu G. S. ↑,
46', Otto D. ↓, Muwanguzi T. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Kyebatala U. ⚽,
63', Waiswa C. ↓, Ofoyrwoth I. ↑,
63', Kaggwa P. ↓, Ssekajja D. ↑,
63', Kyebatala U. ↓, Katumba E. ↑,
63', Kabuye S. ↓, Ogweti G. ↑,
63', Ocen B. ↓, Mugume E. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Ogwang I. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Recent matches Police is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mbale Heroes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Police is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Police won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Police won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
25.10.24	Vipers - Police	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Police - Express	2:2 ✺
03.10.24	Kitara - Police	0:1 ✺
24.09.24	Police - Bright Stars	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Mbarara City - Police	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWTT
- Mbale Heroes
Ugandan Super League
26.10.24	Mbale Heroes - Kampala City Council	0:1 ✺
16.10.24	Lugazi Municipal - Mbale Heroes	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mbale Heroes - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:4 ✺
27.09.24	Wakiso Giants - Mbale Heroes	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Mbale Heroes - Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uganda Big League
21.04.24	Police - Mbale Heroes	1:1
16.11.23	Mbale Heroes - Police	0:4

Police - Mbale Heroes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide